RadarScope: SMCI — Analiza Fundamentala

Market Cap

$23.9B

P/E Ratio

10.1

Profit Margin

5.7%

ROE

25.1%

📈 Earnings Report — 2026-08

Ultimul trimestru raportat

EPS Actual

$1.7

▲ 102.4% QoQ▲ 314.6% YoY

EPS Estimat

$0.923

Beat by 84.2%

Revenue Actual

$11.12B

▲ 8.6% QoQ▲ 93.2% YoY

Revenue Estimat

$11.60B

Miss by 4.1%

Istoric Ultimele 4 Trimestre

2026-08

EPS Actual

$1.7

EPS Est.

$0.923

Revenue

$11.12B

Beat/Miss

Beat by 84.2%

2026-05

EPS Actual

$0.84

EPS Est.

$0.617

Revenue

$10.24B

Beat/Miss

Beat by 36.1%

2026-02

EPS Actual

$0.69

EPS Est.

$0.49

Revenue

$12.68B

Beat/Miss

Beat by 40.8%

2025-11

EPS Actual

$0.35

EPS Est.

$0.3747

Revenue

$5.02B

Beat/Miss

Miss by 6.6%

Urmatorul Raport

Data

2026-11-03

EPS Estimat

$1.04

Revenue Estimat

$14.94B

📊 Scoruri Companie

Crestere 9/10

Revenue & Profit Growth

Evaluare 9/10

P/E · P/B · P/S

Calitate 8/10

Marje · ROE · Datorii

Risc 7/10

Beta · Market Cap

📈 Date Financiare Istorice in miliarde USD

💰 Revenue

📊 Net Profit

💵 Cash Flow

Operating (albastru) · Free (violet)

🏦 Cash & Datorii

Cash (verde) · Long-term Debt (rosu)

💸 Operating Expenses

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📖 Indicatorii lui Lynch — concluzii rapide dupa Peter Lynch

PEG — P/E in contextul cresterii

FOARTE ATRACTIV

PEG 0.23 · cu dividend 0.23 · crestere EPS ~43.8%/an. Regula Lynch: ~1 corect, sub 0.5 foarte atractiv, peste 2 scump.

P/E vs istoria proprie si sectorul

P/E acum 10.1.
vs media proprie 5 ani (19.3): SUB media sa
vs sector Technology (43.7): SUB sector
Lynch: compara P/E cu propria istorie si media industriei, nu in absolut.

Procentul din vanzari (concentrare produs)

CONCENTRAT PE 1 PRODUS

Server And Storage Sys 97% · Subsystems and accesso 3%
Lynch: un produs genial care aduce sub ~10% din venituri nu misca actiunea.

Cash si datorie

DATORIE NETA

Datorie neta pe actiune $1.85 (mai multa datorie decat cash).
Datorie/Capital 0.46 DATORIE MICA — decide supravietuirea in vremuri grele (esential la ciclice si turnarounds).
Tip datorie: OK — TERMEN LUNG — majoritar pe termen lung (obligatiuni = timp de manevra). Scurt $2.0B / Lung $6.7B.

Marje de profit

MARJE MEDII

Bruta 10.8% · Operationala 7.1% · Neta 5.7%. Marje decente.

Inventare vs vanzari

ATENTIE

Stocurile cresc mai repede ca vanzarile (inventar +176% vs vanzari +78%) — semnal de alarma clasic.

Povestea in 2 minute

De ce o detii: Analiza AI (verdict, bull case, bear case) este disponibila pe planurile Trader si Elite.
Ce trebuie sa mearga bine: Disponibil pe Trader / Elite
Obstacole: Disponibil pe Trader / Elite
Lynch: daca nu poti explica coerent in 2 minute de ce o detii, nu o intelegi.

🔬 Analiza Fundamentala Avansata · an fiscal 2025-06-30

🏦 Altman Z-Score

4.92 ZONA SIGURA

X1 Capital de lucru / Active	0.71	x1.2
X2 Profit reportat / Active	0.245	x1.4
X3 EBIT / Active	0.091	x3.3
X4 Capitalizare / Datorii	3.102	x0.6
X5 Vanzari / Active	1.567	x1.0

Praguri Altman (1968): >2,99 sigur · 1,81–2,99 gri · <1,81 pericol de faliment

💪 Piotroski F-Score

5/9 ACCEPTABIL

✓ROA pozitiv7.48%

✓Cash flow operational pozitiv1.66B

✗ROA in crestere7.48% vs 11.73%

✓Cash flow > Profit net (calitate)1.66B vs 1.05B

✗Datorie pe termen lung in scadere33.4% vs 18.0% din active

✓Lichiditate curenta in crestere5.25 vs 3.81

✗Fara emisiune de actiuni noi594.1M vs 588.1M

✗Marja bruta in crestere11.1% vs 13.8%

✓Rotatia activelor in crestere1.57 vs 1.53

9 teste binare (Piotroski, 2000). 8–9 = putere financiara · 0–2 = slabiciune

⚖️ ROIC vs WACC

+6.03pp CREEAZA VALOARE

ROIC (randamentul capitalului)	18.73%
WACC (costul capitalului)	12.70%

Ipoteze (la vedere):
Rata fara risc 4.2% (USD) · Beta 1.97 · Prima de risc 5.5%
Cost capitaluri proprii 15.02% · Cost datorie 1.25% · Impozit efectiv 12.9%

Metode publice: Altman, E. (1968), Journal of Finance · Piotroski, J. (2000), Journal of Accounting Research · ROIC/WACC prin CAPM. Fiecare cifra isi arata componentele si pragurile — poti reface calculul manual.

📊 Metrici Fundamentale

P/E TTM10.1

P/B TTM1.54

P/S TTM0.61

EV/EBITDA7.6

Gross Margin10.8%

Operating Margin7.1%

Net Margin5.7%

ROE25.1%

ROA7.4%

Debt/Equity0.46

Current Ratio3.87

FCF Yield-29.1%

Dividend Yield—

Beta1.97

💰 Venituri & Profit (ultimele trimestre)

Trimestru	Revenue	Gross Profit	Net Income	EPS
2026-06	$11.1B	$1.9B	$1.2B	$1.89
2026-03	$10.2B	$1.0B	$483.4M	$0.81
2025-12	$12.7B	$798.6M	$400.6M	$0.67
2025-09	$5.0B	$467.4M	$168.3M	$0.28

🏢 Profil Companie

CEOCharles Liang

Angajati6238

IPO2007-03-28

Websitehttps://www.supermicro.com...

52W High$58.78

52W Low$19.48

Super Micro Computer, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops and sells server and storage solutions based on modular and open-standard architecture in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. The company provides liquid and air-cooled AI servers for training and inferencing with integrated graphics processing units (GPUs) or PCIe based architectures; SuperBlade, MicroBlade, FlexTwin, GrandTwin, and BigTwin blade and multi-node systems; SuperStorage systems; Hyper, CloudDC, a...

🎯 Score Breakdown

Calitate Companie (Q) 8/10

Risc Speculativ (R) 7/10

Scor AI RadarScope 0/100

VERDICT FINAL

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