RadarScope: ASML — Analiza Fundamentala

Market Cap

$678.5B

P/E Ratio

54.6

Profit Margin

30.1%

ROE

52.4%

📈 Earnings Report — 2026-07

Ultimul trimestru raportat

EPS Actual

$8.68

▲ 3.7% QoQ▲ 26.9% YoY

EPS Estimat

$7.98

Beat by 8.8%

Revenue Actual

$10.67B

▲ 3.1% QoQ▲ 19.6% YoY

Revenue Estimat

$10.24B

Beat by 4.2%

Istoric Ultimele 4 Trimestre

2026-07

EPS Actual

$8.68

EPS Est.

$7.98

Revenue

$10.67B

Beat/Miss

Beat by 8.8%

2026-04

EPS Actual

$8.37

EPS Est.

$7.72

Revenue

$10.34B

Beat/Miss

Beat by 8.4%

2026-01

EPS Actual

$8.55

EPS Est.

$9.04

Revenue

$11.61B

Beat/Miss

Miss by 5.4%

2025-10

EPS Actual

$6.41

EPS Est.

$6.27

Revenue

$8.74B

Beat/Miss

Beat by 2.2%

Urmatorul Raport

Data

2026-10-14

EPS Estimat

$11.74

Revenue Estimat

$12.99B

💰 Dividende Recente

2026-07

$2.138

Yield: 0.57%

Plata: 2026-08

2026-04

$3.168

Yield: 0.61%

Plata: 2026-05

2026-02

$1.906

Yield: 0.55%

Plata: 2026-02

2025-10

$1.864

Yield: 0.69%

Plata: 2025-11

📊 Scoruri Companie

Crestere 9/10

Revenue & Profit Growth

Evaluare 1/10

P/E · P/B · P/S

Calitate 10/10

Marje · ROE · Datorii

Risc 6/10

Beta · Market Cap

📈 Date Financiare Istorice in miliarde USD

💰 Revenue

📊 Net Profit

💵 Cash Flow

Operating (albastru) · Free (violet)

🏦 Cash & Datorii

Cash (verde) · Long-term Debt (rosu)

💸 Operating Expenses

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🐂 BULL CASE

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📖 Indicatorii lui Lynch — concluzii rapide dupa Peter Lynch

PEG — P/E in contextul cresterii

SCUMP

PEG 2.13 · cu dividend 2.09 · crestere EPS ~25.6%/an. Regula Lynch: ~1 corect, sub 0.5 foarte atractiv, peste 2 scump.

P/E vs istoria proprie si sectorul

P/E acum 54.6.
vs media proprie 5 ani (37.7): PESTE media sa
vs sector Technology (43.5): PESTE sector
Lynch: compara P/E cu propria istorie si media industriei, nu in absolut.

Procentul din vanzari (concentrare produs)

MODERAT CONCENTRAT

NXE 43% · Arf immersion 42% · EXE 5% · Krf 4%
Lynch: un produs genial care aduce sub ~10% din venituri nu misca actiunea.

Cash si datorie

CASH NET POZITIV

Cash net pe actiune $27.52 (~2% din pret e deja acoperit de bani lichizi).
Datorie/Capital 0.09 DATORIE MICA — decide supravietuirea in vremuri grele (esential la ciclice si turnarounds).
Tip datorie: OK — TERMEN LUNG — majoritar pe termen lung (obligatiuni = timp de manevra). Scurt $0.00 / Lung $2.7B.

Marje de profit

MARJE SOLIDE

Bruta 52.7% · Operationala 35.4% · Neta 30.1%. Marje mari — de regula castigatorul pe termen lung din industrie.

Inventare vs vanzari

Stocurile NU cresc mai repede ca vanzarile (inventar -2% vs vanzari +16%).

Povestea in 2 minute

De ce o detii: Analiza AI (verdict, bull case, bear case) este disponibila pe planurile Trader si Elite.
Ce trebuie sa mearga bine: Disponibil pe Trader / Elite
Obstacole: Disponibil pe Trader / Elite
Lynch: daca nu poti explica coerent in 2 minute de ce o detii, nu o intelegi.

🔬 Analiza Fundamentala Avansata · an fiscal 2025-12-31

🏦 Altman Z-Score

15.14 ZONA SIGURA

X1 Capital de lucru / Active	0.126	x1.2
X2 Profit reportat / Active	0.348	x1.4
X3 EBIT / Active	0.228	x3.3
X4 Capitalizare / Datorii	21.845	x0.6
X5 Vanzari / Active	0.646	x1.0

Praguri Altman (1968): >2,99 sigur · 1,81–2,99 gri · <1,81 pericol de faliment

💪 Piotroski F-Score

6/9 ACCEPTABIL

✓ROA pozitiv19.00%

✗Cash flow operational pozitivn/a

✓ROA in crestere19.00% vs 15.58%

✗Cash flow > Profit net (calitate)n/a vs 9.61B

✓Datorie pe termen lung in scadere5.4% vs 7.6% din active

✗Lichiditate curenta in crestere1.26 vs 1.53

✓Fara emisiune de actiuni noi385.4M vs 393.3M

✓Marja bruta in crestere52.8% vs 51.3%

✓Rotatia activelor in crestere0.65 vs 0.58

9 teste binare (Piotroski, 2000). 8–9 = putere financiara · 0–2 = slabiciune

⚖️ ROIC vs WACC

+73.95pp CREEAZA VALOARE

ROIC (randamentul capitalului)	85.60%
WACC (costul capitalului)	11.65%

Ipoteze (la vedere):
Rata fara risc 4.2% (USD) · Beta 1.36 · Prima de risc 5.5%
Cost capitaluri proprii 11.71% · Cost datorie 2.69% · Impozit efectiv 17.7%

Metode publice: Altman, E. (1968), Journal of Finance · Piotroski, J. (2000), Journal of Accounting Research · ROIC/WACC prin CAPM. Fiecare cifra isi arata componentele si pragurile — poti reface calculul manual.

📊 Metrici Fundamentale

P/E TTM54.6

P/B TTM26.59

P/S TTM16.43

EV/EBITDA41.7

Gross Margin52.7%

Operating Margin35.4%

Net Margin30.1%

ROE52.4%

ROA21.2%

Debt/Equity0.09

Current Ratio1.33

FCF Yield1.7%

Dividend Yield0.52%

Beta1.39

💰 Venituri & Profit (ultimele trimestre)

Trimestru	Revenue	Gross Profit	Net Income	EPS
2026-06	$9.3B	$5.0B	$2.9B	$7.59
2026-03	$8.8B	$4.6B	$2.8B	$7.15
2025-12	$9.7B	$5.1B	$2.8B	$7.35
2025-09	$7.5B	$3.9B	$2.1B	$5.48

🏢 Profil Companie

CEOChristophe D. Fouquet

Angajati43938

IPO1995-03-15

Websitehttps://www.asml.com...

52W High$1999.96

52W Low$716.20

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers met...

🎯 Score Breakdown

Calitate Companie (Q) 10/10

Risc Speculativ (R) 6/10

Scor AI RadarScope 0/100

VERDICT FINAL

TINE

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